Value bet: Goiatuba EC to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCeilândia to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.94
Ceilândia vs Goiatuba EC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Saturday 30 May: Ceilândia v Goiatuba EC in the Serie D.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ceilândia 1.1 xG, Goiatuba EC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ceilândia 41%, draw 26%, Goiatuba EC 34%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Goiatuba EC to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ceilândia 1–0 Goiatuba EC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ceilândia41%fair 2.47 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.70
Goiatuba EC34%fair 2.97 · @3.60
2.00Expected goals
1.07Ceilândia xG
0.93Goiatuba EC xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ceilândia 1.1 – 0.9 Goiatuba EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ceilândia to win✗
41%
2.47
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.55
Draw no bet
Ceilândia (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Goiatuba EC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Ceilândia to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.94
–
Recent results
Ceilândia – last 1
D
5 Apr
vs Mixto
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Goiatuba EC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ceilândia and Goiatuba EC.
What is the prediction for Ceilândia vs Goiatuba EC?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Ceilândia vs Goiatuba EC?
On our numbers Ceilândia have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Goiatuba EC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Ceilândia vs Goiatuba EC?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceilândia vs Goiatuba EC?
Our predicted score is Ceilândia 1–0 Goiatuba EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Ceilândia vs Goiatuba EC?
Ceilândia vs Goiatuba EC (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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