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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CFRJ Maricá v Nova Iguaçu: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

CFRJ Maricá

WWWWL
1–0
FT

Nova Iguaçu

LWDDL
CFRJ Maricá 37%Draw 32%Nova Iguaçu 31% Expected goals 1.05 – 0.88
69%
Betarazi pick

CFRJ Maricá or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCFRJ Maricá to win ✓37% · @2.50
Double chanceCFRJ Maricá or draw ✓69% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.24

CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CFRJ Maricá welcome Nova Iguaçu for a Serie D fixture on Saturday 30 May (21:00 WAT).

Current form

CFRJ Maricá, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Olaria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Nova Iguaçu, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fortaleza EC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours CFRJ Maricá, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Nova Iguaçu.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Feb 2026) it ended Nova Iguaçu 0–1 CFRJ Maricá.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CFRJ Maricá 1.0 xG, Nova Iguaçu 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CFRJ Maricá 37%, draw 32%, Nova Iguaçu 31%.
  • Lower-risk option: CFRJ Maricá or draw (69%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.30.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was CFRJ Maricá or draw (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: CFRJ Maricá 1–0 Nova Iguaçu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CFRJ Maricá37%fair 2.69 · @2.50
Draw32%fair 3.11 · @2.50
Nova Iguaçu31%fair 3.26 · @3.00
1.93Expected goals
1.05CFRJ Maricá xG
0.88Nova Iguaçu xG
51%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: CFRJ Maricá 1.0 – 0.9 Nova Iguaçu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCFRJ Maricá to win ✓37%2.692.50
Double chanceCFRJ Maricá or draw ✓69%1.441.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.962.30 ▲
Draw no betCFRJ Maricá (draw no bet) ✓55%1.83–
Asian handicapNova Iguaçu +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗57%1.74–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreCFRJ Maricá to score first ✓46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗23%4.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%14.24–

Recent results

CFRJ Maricá – last 6

WWWWLL
27 Mayvs Olaria2–1W
20 May@ América RJ1–0W
13 Mayvs São Gonçalo EC RJ1–0W
6 Mayvs Cabofriense1–0W
26 Feb@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ1–2L
23 Febvs Portuguesa RJ0–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Nova Iguaçu – last 5

LWDDL
17 Marvs Fortaleza EC0–1L
12 Mar@ Castanhal4–0W
26 Febvs Portuguesa RJ1–1D
24 Feb@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ1–1D
16 Febvs CFRJ Maricá0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Feb 2026Nova Iguaçu v CFRJ Maricá0–1
CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Água Santa4 Madureira1 153%1.62X27%3.10220%5.50 1.5–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.20 ✓
FT Aparecidense1 Primavera MG1 151%1.85X27%3.00222%3.80 1.6–1.0xG 1XAparecidense or draw 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Iguatu2 Parnahyba2 156%1.67X24%3.10220%4.80 1.7–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.20 ✓
FT Joinville2 Guarany de Bagé0 163%1.44X24%3.25213%8.00 1.7–0.7xG 1Joinville to win 63%@1.44 ✓
FT ABECAT Ouvidorense2 Ipatinga1 143%2.90X27%2.60230%2.45 1.5–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.10 ✓
FT Porto BA1 Tombense3 126%3.70X25%3.10248%1.91 1.1–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗
FT Pouso Alegre1 Portuguesa2 114%4.60X25%2.90261%1.75 0.5–1.5xG 2Portuguesa to win 61%@1.75 ✓
FT Vitória ES1 Real Noroeste1 163%1.50X25%3.50213%6.00 1.5–0.5xG 1Vitória ES to win 63%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu?

Our pick is CFRJ Maricá or draw with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu?

On our numbers CFRJ Maricá have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Nova Iguaçu 31%.

How many goals will there be in CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu?

Our predicted score is CFRJ Maricá 1–0 Nova Iguaçu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu?

CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.