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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

XV de Piracicaba v Noroeste: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra

XV de Piracicaba

DWWLD
1–1
FT

Noroeste

D
XV de Piracicaba 49%Draw 28%Noroeste 23% Expected goals 1.29 – 0.97
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 2.05 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
2.05Odds

Picks by market

ResultXV de Piracicaba to win ✗49% · @1.70
Double chanceXV de Piracicaba or draw ✓77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84

XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

XV de Piracicaba welcome Noroeste to Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra for a Serie D fixture on Saturday 30 May (21:00 WAT).

Current form

XV de Piracicaba, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Velo Clube, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give XV de Piracicaba 1.3 xG, Noroeste 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – XV de Piracicaba 49%, draw 28%, Noroeste 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: XV de Piracicaba or draw (77%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.82, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: XV de Piracicaba 1–1 Noroeste. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

XV de Piracicaba49%fair 2.04 · @1.70
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.10
Noroeste23%fair 4.34 · @4.50
2.26Expected goals
1.29XV de Piracicaba xG
0.97Noroeste xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: XV de Piracicaba 1.3 – 1.0 Noroeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultXV de Piracicaba to win ✗49%2.041.70
Double chanceXV de Piracicaba or draw ✓77%1.301.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.822.05 ▲
Draw no betXV de Piracicaba (draw no bet)68%1.47–
Asian handicapNoroeste +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreXV de Piracicaba to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT XV de Piracicaba / FT XV de Piracicaba ✗25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.84–

Recent results

XV de Piracicaba – last 6

DWWLDL
23 May@ Velo Clube1–1D
15 Apr@ Água Santa1–0W
9 Aprvs Ituano3–0W
26 Marvs Votuporanguense1–2L
18 Mar@ Ituano0–0D
1 Mar@ Juventus0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Noroeste – last 1

D
16 Feb@ Primavera SP3–3D
3.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between XV de Piracicaba and Noroeste.

XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Água Santa4 Madureira1 153%1.62X27%3.10220%5.50 1.5–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.20 ✓
FT Aparecidense1 Primavera MG1 151%1.85X27%3.00222%3.80 1.6–1.0xG 1XAparecidense or draw 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Iguatu2 Parnahyba2 156%1.67X24%3.10220%4.80 1.7–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.20 ✓
FT Joinville2 Guarany de Bagé0 163%1.44X24%3.25213%8.00 1.7–0.7xG 1Joinville to win 63%@1.44 ✓
FT ABECAT Ouvidorense2 Ipatinga1 143%2.90X27%2.60230%2.45 1.5–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.10 ✓
FT Porto BA1 Tombense3 126%3.70X25%3.10248%1.91 1.1–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗
FT Pouso Alegre1 Portuguesa2 114%4.60X25%2.90261%1.75 0.5–1.5xG 2Portuguesa to win 61%@1.75 ✓
FT Vitória ES1 Real Noroeste1 163%1.50X25%3.50213%6.00 1.5–0.5xG 1Vitória ES to win 63%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste?

On our numbers XV de Piracicaba have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Noroeste 23%.

How many goals will there be in XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste?

Our predicted score is XV de Piracicaba 1–1 Noroeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste?

XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.