Scotland v Slovenia: numbers & prediction

Scotland vs Slovenia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Slovenia travel to face Scotland on Tuesday 6 October in the UEFA Nations League, with Hampden Park Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Scotland are 3rd on 4 points after 4 matches; Slovenia are 2nd with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Scotland, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FYR Macedonia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Slovenia, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Switzerland, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended Slovenia 0–0 Scotland.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Scotland 1.2 xG, Slovenia 0.5 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77%.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Scotland 60%, draw 22%, Slovenia 18%.
• Lower-risk option: Scotland or draw (82%) at 1.18.
• GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Scotland to win (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Scotland 1–0 Slovenia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.