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Burkina Faso v Mauritania: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade du 4 Aout

Burkina Faso

LWDDL
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Mauritania

LWWDL
Burkina Faso 62%Draw 24%Mauritania 14% Expected goals 1.73 – 0.68
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.43

6/10Rating
1.43Odds

Picks by market

ResultBurkina Faso to win62% · @1.53
Double chanceBurkina Faso or draw86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.54
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.44

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 13 November the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification brings Burkina Faso against Mauritania at Stade du 4 Aout. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Burkina Faso are 2nd on 10 points after 6 matches; Mauritania are 3rd with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Burkina Faso, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Argentina, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Mauritania, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Benin, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Burkina Faso 1.7 xG, Mauritania 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Burkina Faso 62%, draw 24%, Mauritania 14%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.54.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burkina Faso 2–0 Mauritania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Burkina Faso62%fair 1.62 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.72
Mauritania14%fair 7.30 · @6.37
2.41Expected goals
1.73Burkina Faso xG
0.68Mauritania xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: Burkina Faso 1.7 – 0.7 Mauritania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBurkina Faso to win62%1.621.53
Double chanceBurkina Faso or draw86%1.161.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score51%1.951.54
Draw no betBurkina Faso (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapBurkina Faso -0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals67%1.491.43
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals58%1.731.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.281.16
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.121.02
First team to scoreBurkina Faso to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultBurkina Faso ahead at half-time43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Burkina Faso / FT Burkina Faso39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%6.44–

Recent results

Burkina Faso – last 6

LWDDLD
4 Oct@ Argentina0–7L
28 Sep@ Central African Republic1–0W
25 Sepvs Benin1–1D
9 Jun@ Belarus2–2D
5 Jun@ Russia0–3L
31 Marvs Guinea-Bissau1–1D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mauritania – last 5

LWWDL
29 Sep@ Benin1–2L
24 Sepvs Central African Republic3–1W
8 Jun@ Niger1–0W
5 Jun@ Angola1–1D
28 Mar@ Argentina1–2L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Burkina Faso and Mauritania.

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt6420+1014
2Botswana6222-38
3Mauritania6213-37
4Cape Verde Islands6114-44

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Comoros Congo 157%1.83X27%3.20216%4.56 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.42
Mozambique Ethiopia 162%1.54X24%3.74213%6.13 1.7–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.36
Zambia Burundi 161%1.58X25%3.62214%5.85 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.39
Cape Verde Islands Liberia 164%1.25X21%5.10215%12.00 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.26
Gabon Lesotho 169%1.22X19%5.45211%13.00 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28
Nigeria Tanzania 176%1.11X17%7.5027%18.50 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.47
South Africa Kenya 167%1.27X18%4.90215%11.30 1.9–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.32
Tunisia Libya 174%1.26X19%5.0027%11.70 2.1–0.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.

Who will win Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

On our numbers Burkina Faso have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mauritania 14%.

How many goals will there be in Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

Our predicted score is Burkina Faso 2–0 Mauritania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 4 Aout.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.