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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nigeria v Tanzania: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Godswill Akpabio International Stadium

Nigeria

DLWLD
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Tanzania

DLWL
Nigeria 76%Draw 17%Tanzania 7% Expected goals 2.26 – 0.53
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.47

6/10Rating
1.47Odds

Picks by market

ResultNigeria to win76% · @1.11
Double chanceNigeria or draw93% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–012% · fair 8.47

Nigeria vs Tanzania: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tanzania travel to face Nigeria on Friday 13 November in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, with Godswill Akpabio International Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Nigeria are 1st on 11 points after 6 matches; Tanzania are 2nd with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Nigeria, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Russia, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Tanzania, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Madagascar, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nigeria 2.3 xG, Tanzania 0.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nigeria 76%, draw 17%, Tanzania 7%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.42.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.47). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nigeria 2–0 Tanzania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nigeria76%fair 1.31 · @1.11
Draw17%fair 5.86 · @7.50
Tanzania7%fair 15.07 · @18.50
2.79Expected goals
2.26Nigeria xG
0.53Tanzania xG
45%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–016%
1–014%
3–012%
2–18%
1–17%
4–07%

From our goals model: Nigeria 2.3 – 0.5 Tanzania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNigeria to win76%1.311.11
Double chanceNigeria or draw93%1.071.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score55%1.831.42
Draw no betNigeria (draw no bet)92%1.09–
Asian handicapNigeria -1 (Asian handicap)69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.281.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals56%1.781.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.531.47
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.231.16
First team to scoreNigeria to score first76%1.32–
Half-time resultNigeria ahead at half-time55%1.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nigeria / FT Nigeria52%1.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–012%8.47–

Recent results

Nigeria – last 6

DLWLDW
6 Oct@ Russia3–3D
29 Sep@ Guinea-Bissau0–3L
25 Sepvs Madagascar2–1W
10 Jun@ Portugal1–2L
3 Jun@ Poland2–2D
26 Mayvs Zimbabwe2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tanzania – last 4

DLWL
29 Sep@ Madagascar1–1D
25 Sepvs Guinea-Bissau0–2L
29 Mar@ Mação6–0W
26 Marvs Liechtenstein0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nigeria and Tanzania.

Nigeria vs Tanzania head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nigeria6321+611
2Benin622208
3Rwanda6222-28
4Libya6123-45

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Comoros Congo 157%1.83X27%3.20216%4.56 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.42
Mozambique Ethiopia 162%1.54X24%3.74213%6.13 1.7–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.36
Zambia Burundi 161%1.58X25%3.62214%5.85 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.39
Burkina Faso Mauritania 162%1.53X24%3.72214%6.37 1.7–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.43
Cape Verde Islands Liberia 164%1.25X21%5.10215%12.00 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.26
Gabon Lesotho 169%1.22X19%5.45211%13.00 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28
South Africa Kenya 167%1.27X18%4.90215%11.30 1.9–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.32
Tunisia Libya 174%1.26X19%5.0027%11.70 2.1–0.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nigeria vs Tanzania?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.47.

Who will win Nigeria vs Tanzania?

On our numbers Nigeria have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Tanzania 7%.

How many goals will there be in Nigeria vs Tanzania?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nigeria vs Tanzania?

Our predicted score is Nigeria 2–0 Tanzania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Nigeria vs Tanzania?

Nigeria vs Tanzania (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Godswill Akpabio International Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.