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Tunisia v Libya: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi

Tunisia

DDLLL
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Libya

LDDD
Tunisia 74%Draw 19%Libya 7% Expected goals 2.13 – 0.53
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultTunisia to win74% · @1.26
Double chanceTunisia or draw93% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–016% · fair 6.28

Tunisia vs Libya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tunisia welcome Libya to Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi for a Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixture on Friday 13 November (17:00 WAT). In the table, Tunisia are 2nd on 10 points after 6 matches; Libya are 4th with 5.

Current form

Tunisia, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Botswana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Libya, last 4: LDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Uganda, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tunisia 2.1 xG, Libya 0.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tunisia 74%, draw 19%, Libya 7%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.42.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tunisia 2–0 Libya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tunisia74%fair 1.36 · @1.26
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @5.00
Libya7%fair 14.57 · @11.70
2.66Expected goals
2.13Tunisia xG
0.53Libya xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–016%
1–015%
3–011%
2–18%
1–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Tunisia 2.1 – 0.5 Libya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTunisia to win74%1.361.26
Double chanceTunisia or draw93%1.071.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.921.42
Draw no betTunisia (draw no bet)91%1.09–
Asian handicapTunisia -1 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.381.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.941.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.381.24
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.161.05
First team to scoreTunisia to score first75%1.34–
Half-time resultTunisia ahead at half-time53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tunisia / FT Tunisia50%2.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–016%6.28–

Recent results

Tunisia – last 6

DDLLLL
28 Sep@ Botswana2–2D
24 Sepvs Uganda1–1D
26 Junvs Netherlands1–3L
21 Junvs Japan0–4L
15 Jun@ Sweden1–5L
6 Jun@ Belgium0–5L
0.8Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Libya – last 4

LDDD
29 Sep@ Uganda0–1L
24 Sepvs Botswana2–2D
31 Mar@ Liberia2–2D
27 Marvs Niger0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tunisia and Libya.

Tunisia vs Libya head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Comoros6330+312
2Tunisia6312+110
3Gambia622208
4Madagascar6024-42

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Comoros Congo 157%1.83X27%3.20216%4.56 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.42
Mozambique Ethiopia 162%1.54X24%3.74213%6.13 1.7–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.36
Zambia Burundi 161%1.58X25%3.62214%5.85 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.39
Burkina Faso Mauritania 162%1.53X24%3.72214%6.37 1.7–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.43
Cape Verde Islands Liberia 164%1.25X21%5.10215%12.00 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.26
Gabon Lesotho 169%1.22X19%5.45211%13.00 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28
Nigeria Tanzania 176%1.11X17%7.5027%18.50 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.47
South Africa Kenya 167%1.27X18%4.90215%11.30 1.9–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tunisia vs Libya?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Tunisia vs Libya?

On our numbers Tunisia have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Libya 7%.

How many goals will there be in Tunisia vs Libya?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tunisia vs Libya?

Our predicted score is Tunisia 2–0 Libya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Tunisia vs Libya?

Tunisia vs Libya (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.