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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cape Verde Islands v Liberia: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa

Cape Verde Islands

LLDDD
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Liberia

LLWLD
Cape Verde Islands 64%Draw 21%Liberia 15% Expected goals 1.84 – 0.91
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.26

8/10Rating
1.26Odds

Picks by market

ResultCape Verde Islands to win64% · @1.25
Double chanceCape Verde Islands or draw85% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–07% · fair 14.98

Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 13 November the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification brings Cape Verde Islands against Liberia. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Cape Verde Islands are 4th on 4 points after 6 matches; Liberia are 4th with 4. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cape Verde Islands, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rwanda, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Liberia, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mali, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cape Verde Islands 1.8 xG, Liberia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cape Verde Islands 64%, draw 21%, Liberia 15%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.42.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cape Verde Islands 2–0 Liberia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cape Verde Islands64%fair 1.57 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @5.10
Liberia15%fair 6.66 · @12.00
2.75Expected goals
1.84Cape Verde Islands xG
0.91Liberia xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Cape Verde Islands 1.8 – 0.9 Liberia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Cape Verde IslandsLiberia
Attack vs Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification average-4%-16%
Goals conceded vs average+22%+10%
Our expected goals here1.661.01

Our own ratings from every Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCape Verde Islands to win64%1.571.25
Double chanceCape Verde Islands or draw85%1.18–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score50%1.991.42
Draw no betCape Verde Islands (draw no bet)81%1.24–
Asian handicapLiberia +1.5 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.351.26
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals50%2.001.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.401.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals86%1.161.05
First team to scoreCape Verde Islands to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultCape Verde Islands ahead at half-time43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cape Verde Islands / FT Cape Verde Islands37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–07%14.98–

Recent results

Cape Verde Islands – last 6

LLDDDD
29 Sepvs Rwanda1–2L
25 Sep@ Mali1–3L
3 Jul@ Argentina1–1D
27 Junvs Saudi Arabia0–0D
21 Jun@ Uruguay2–2D
15 Jun@ Spain0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Liberia – last 6

LLWLDL
29 Sepvs Mali0–1L
25 Sep@ Rwanda1–3L
9 Junvs Sierra Leone3–1W
6 Jun@ Sierra Leone0–1L
31 Marvs Libya2–2D
27 Mar@ Benin0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cape Verde Islands and Liberia.

Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt6420+1014
2Botswana6222-38
3Mauritania6213-37
4Cape Verde Islands6114-44

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Comoros Congo 157%1.83X27%3.20216%4.56 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.42
Mozambique Ethiopia 162%1.54X24%3.74213%6.13 1.7–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.36
Zambia Burundi 161%1.58X25%3.62214%5.85 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.39
Burkina Faso Mauritania 162%1.53X24%3.72214%6.37 1.7–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.43
Gabon Lesotho 169%1.22X19%5.45211%13.00 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28
Nigeria Tanzania 176%1.11X17%7.5027%18.50 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.47
South Africa Kenya 167%1.27X18%4.90215%11.30 1.9–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.32
Tunisia Libya 174%1.26X19%5.0027%11.70 2.1–0.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia?

On our numbers Cape Verde Islands have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Liberia 15%.

How many goals will there be in Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia?

Our predicted score is Cape Verde Islands 2–0 Liberia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia?

Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.