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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gabon v Lesotho: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade de Franceville

Gabon

WLL
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Lesotho

LLLDW
Gabon 69%Draw 19%Lesotho 11% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.53
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultGabon to win69% · @1.22
Double chanceGabon or draw89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.39
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.68

Gabon vs Lesotho: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Friday 13 November: Gabon v Lesotho in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, played at Stade de Franceville. In the table, Gabon are 2nd on 10 points after 6 matches; Lesotho are 3rd with 4.

Current form

Gabon, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Niger, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Lesotho, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Morocco, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gabon 1.8 xG, Lesotho 0.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gabon 69%, draw 19%, Lesotho 11%.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.39.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gabon 1–0 Lesotho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gabon69%fair 1.44 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @5.45
Lesotho11%fair 8.73 · @13.00
2.32Expected goals
1.79Gabon xG
0.53Lesotho xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
3–09%
1–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Gabon 1.8 – 0.5 Lesotho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGabon to win69%1.441.22
Double chanceGabon or draw89%1.13–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score56%1.771.39
Draw no betGabon (draw no bet)86%1.17–
Asian handicapGabon -0.5 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.441.26
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.821.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.331.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.141.07
First team to scoreGabon to score first70%1.44–
Half-time resultGabon ahead at half-time47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gabon / FT Gabon43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018%5.68–

Recent results

Gabon – last 3

WLL
29 Sepvs Niger2–0W
25 Sep@ Morocco0–2L
27 Mar@ Uzbekistan1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lesotho – last 6

LLLDWD
29 Sepvs Morocco0–2L
25 Sep@ Niger1–2L
7 Jun@ Kenya0–4L
4 Junvs Kenya1–1D
29 Marvs Seychelles2–1W
26 Mar@ Seychelles0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gabon and Lesotho.

Gabon vs Lesotho head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco6600+2418
2Gabon6312-210
3Lesotho6114-114
4Central African Republic6105-113

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Comoros Congo 157%1.83X27%3.20216%4.56 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.42
Mozambique Ethiopia 162%1.54X24%3.74213%6.13 1.7–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.36
Zambia Burundi 161%1.58X25%3.62214%5.85 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.39
Burkina Faso Mauritania 162%1.53X24%3.72214%6.37 1.7–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.43
Cape Verde Islands Liberia 164%1.25X21%5.10215%12.00 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.26
Nigeria Tanzania 176%1.11X17%7.5027%18.50 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.47
South Africa Kenya 167%1.27X18%4.90215%11.30 1.9–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.32
Tunisia Libya 174%1.26X19%5.0027%11.70 2.1–0.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gabon vs Lesotho?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Gabon vs Lesotho?

On our numbers Gabon have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lesotho 11%.

How many goals will there be in Gabon vs Lesotho?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gabon vs Lesotho?

Our predicted score is Gabon 1–0 Lesotho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Gabon vs Lesotho?

Gabon vs Lesotho (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Franceville.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.