Wednesday 11 November 2026 19 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zambia v Burundi: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Levy Mwanawasa Stadium

Zambia

WLL
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Burundi

DLWW
Zambia 61%Draw 25%Burundi 14% Expected goals 1.92 – 0.83
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.39

7/10Rating
1.39Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.26 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultZambia to win61% · @1.58
Double chanceZambia or draw86% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.26
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.22

Zambia vs Burundi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Friday 13 November: Zambia v Burundi in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, played at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium. In the table, Zambia are 1st on 13 points after 6 matches; Burundi are 4th with 4.

Current form

Zambia, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Togo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Burundi, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Algeria, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Burundi, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Zambia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zambia 1.9 xG, Burundi 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zambia 61%, draw 25%, Burundi 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.26.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.26 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zambia 2–0 Burundi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zambia61%fair 1.64 · @1.58
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.62
Burundi14%fair 7.29 · @5.85
2.75Expected goals
1.92Zambia xG
0.83Burundi xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%

From our goals model: Zambia 1.9 – 0.8 Burundi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZambia to win61%1.641.58
Double chanceZambia or draw86%1.161.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.972.26 ▲
Draw no betZambia (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapZambia -0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.421.39
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.871.58
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.351.16
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.151.02
First team to scoreZambia to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultZambia ahead at half-time45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zambia / FT Zambia40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.22–

Recent results

Zambia – last 3

WLL
29 Sepvs Togo2–0W
25 Sep@ Algeria1–3L
1 Apr@ Argentina0–5L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Burundi – last 4

DLWW
29 Sepvs Algeria2–2D
25 Sep@ Togo0–1L
31 Marvs Chad4–0W
27 Mar@ Chad4–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Zambia and Burundi.

Zambia vs Burundi head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zambia6411+313
2Ivory Coast6402+912
3Sierra Leone6123-55
4Chad6033-73

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Comoros Congo 157%1.83X27%3.20216%4.56 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.42
Mozambique Ethiopia 162%1.54X24%3.74213%6.13 1.7–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.36
Burkina Faso Mauritania 162%1.53X24%3.72214%6.37 1.7–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.43
Cape Verde Islands Liberia 164%1.25X21%5.10215%12.00 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.26
Gabon Lesotho 169%1.22X19%5.45211%13.00 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28
Nigeria Tanzania 176%1.11X17%7.5027%18.50 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.47
South Africa Kenya 167%1.27X18%4.90215%11.30 1.9–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.32
Tunisia Libya 174%1.26X19%5.0027%11.70 2.1–0.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zambia vs Burundi?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win Zambia vs Burundi?

On our numbers Zambia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Burundi 14%.

How many goals will there be in Zambia vs Burundi?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zambia vs Burundi?

Our predicted score is Zambia 2–0 Burundi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Zambia vs Burundi?

Zambia vs Burundi (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.