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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

South Africa v Kenya: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Orlando Stadium

South Africa

WWWLW
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Kenya

LDWDW
South Africa 67%Draw 18%Kenya 15% Expected goals 1.91 – 0.71
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.32

7/10Rating
1.32Odds

Picks by market

ResultSouth Africa to win67% · @1.27
Double chanceSouth Africa or draw85% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.38
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.20

South Africa vs Kenya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kenya travel to face South Africa on Friday 13 November in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, with Orlando Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, South Africa are 1st on 14 points after 6 matches; Kenya are 3rd with 6.

Current form

South Africa, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Egypt, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Kenya, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Guinea, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours South Africa, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.6 for Kenya.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give South Africa 1.9 xG, Kenya 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – South Africa 67%, draw 18%, Kenya 15%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.38.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Africa 2–0 Kenya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

South Africa67%fair 1.48 · @1.27
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @4.90
Kenya15%fair 6.81 · @11.30
2.62Expected goals
1.91South Africa xG
0.71Kenya xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: South Africa 1.9 – 0.7 Kenya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Africa to win67%1.481.27
Double chanceSouth Africa or draw85%1.17–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score50%1.991.38
Draw no betSouth Africa (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapSouth Africa -0.5 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.411.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.891.71
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.361.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.151.04
First team to scoreSouth Africa to score first68%1.48–
Half-time resultSouth Africa ahead at half-time47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Africa / FT South Africa42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014%7.20–

Recent results

South Africa – last 6

WWWLWD
4 Oct@ Egypt1–0W
30 Sep@ Eritrea5–0W
26 Sepvs Guinea2–1W
28 Junvs Canada0–1L
25 Junvs South Korea1–0W
18 Jun@ Czechia1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kenya – last 5

LDWDW
1 Oct@ Guinea0–1L
26 Sepvs Eritrea1–1D
7 Junvs Lesotho4–0W
4 Jun@ Lesotho1–1D
30 Mar@ Grenada3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between South Africa and Kenya.

South Africa vs Kenya head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cameroon6420+614
2Zimbabwe6231+29
3Kenya6132-36
4Namibia6024-52

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Comoros Congo 157%1.83X27%3.20216%4.56 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.42
Mozambique Ethiopia 162%1.54X24%3.74213%6.13 1.7–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.36
Zambia Burundi 161%1.58X25%3.62214%5.85 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.39
Burkina Faso Mauritania 162%1.53X24%3.72214%6.37 1.7–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.43
Cape Verde Islands Liberia 164%1.25X21%5.10215%12.00 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.26
Gabon Lesotho 169%1.22X19%5.45211%13.00 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28
Nigeria Tanzania 176%1.11X17%7.5027%18.50 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.47
Tunisia Libya 174%1.26X19%5.0027%11.70 2.1–0.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for South Africa vs Kenya?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win South Africa vs Kenya?

On our numbers South Africa have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Kenya 15%.

How many goals will there be in South Africa vs Kenya?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for South Africa vs Kenya?

Our predicted score is South Africa 2–0 Kenya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is South Africa vs Kenya?

South Africa vs Kenya (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Orlando Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.