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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Egypt v Malawi: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Cairo International Stadium

Egypt

LWDLD
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Malawi

LWDL
Egypt 80%Draw 13%Malawi 7% Expected goals 2.46 – 0.55
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.43

6/10Rating
1.43Odds

Picks by market

ResultEgypt to win80% · @1.07
Double chanceEgypt or draw93% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.27
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–012% · fair 8.17

Egypt vs Malawi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Friday 13 November: Egypt v Malawi in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, played at Cairo International Stadium. In the table, Egypt are 1st on 14 points after 6 matches; Malawi are 3rd with 4.

Current form

Egypt, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to South Africa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Malawi, last 4: LWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Angola, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Egypt 2.5 xG, Malawi 0.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Egypt 80%, draw 13%, Malawi 7%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.27.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Egypt 2–0 Malawi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Egypt80%fair 1.25 · @1.07
Draw13%fair 7.71 · @8.80
Malawi7%fair 14.32 · @28.00
3.01Expected goals
2.46Egypt xG
0.55Malawi xG
46%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
3–012%
1–012%
2–18%
4–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Egypt 2.5 – 0.6 Malawi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEgypt to win80%1.251.07
Double chanceEgypt or draw93%1.081.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.861.27
Draw no betEgypt (draw no bet)92%1.09–
Asian handicapEgypt -1 (Asian handicap)73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.251.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.721.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.571.43
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals80%1.241.14
First team to scoreEgypt to score first78%1.29–
Half-time resultEgypt ahead at half-time58%1.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT Egypt / FT Egypt55%1.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–012%8.17–

Recent results

Egypt – last 6

LWDLDD
4 Octvs South Africa0–1L
29 Sep@ South Sudan5–0W
25 Sepvs Angola0–0D
7 Jul@ Argentina2–3L
3 Jul@ Australia1–1D
27 Junvs Iran1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Malawi – last 4

LWDL
6 Oct@ Angola1–3L
25 Sepvs South Sudan2–1W
9 Jun@ Ethiopia1–1D
6 Jun@ Ethiopia0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Egypt and Malawi.

Egypt vs Malawi head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt6420+1014
2Botswana6222-38
3Mauritania6213-37
4Cape Verde Islands6114-44

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Comoros Congo 157%1.83X27%3.20216%4.56 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.42
Mozambique Ethiopia 162%1.54X24%3.74213%6.13 1.7–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.36
Zambia Burundi 161%1.58X25%3.62214%5.85 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.39
Burkina Faso Mauritania 162%1.53X24%3.72214%6.37 1.7–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.43
Cape Verde Islands Liberia 164%1.25X21%5.10215%12.00 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.26
Gabon Lesotho 169%1.22X19%5.45211%13.00 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28
Nigeria Tanzania 176%1.11X17%7.5027%18.50 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.47
South Africa Kenya 167%1.27X18%4.90215%11.30 1.9–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Egypt vs Malawi?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.

Who will win Egypt vs Malawi?

On our numbers Egypt have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Malawi 7%.

How many goals will there be in Egypt vs Malawi?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Egypt vs Malawi?

Our predicted score is Egypt 2–0 Malawi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Egypt vs Malawi?

Egypt vs Malawi (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Cairo International Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.