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Morocco v Niger: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa

Morocco

WWLWD
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Niger

LLWLD
Morocco 76%Draw 15%Niger 9% Expected goals 2.09 – 0.61
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.59

6/10Rating
1.59Odds

Picks by market

ResultMorocco to win76% · @1.01
Double chanceMorocco or draw91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.33
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–010% · fair 9.75

Morocco vs Niger: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 13 November the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification brings Morocco against Niger. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Morocco are 1st on 18 points after 6 matches; Niger are 3rd with 7.

Current form

Morocco, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lesotho, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Niger, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Algeria, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Morocco, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Niger.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Morocco 2.1 xG, Niger 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Morocco 76%, draw 15%, Niger 9%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.33.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.59 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morocco 2–0 Niger. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Morocco76%fair 1.31 · @1.01
Draw15%fair 6.58 · @9.75
Niger9%fair 11.48 · @17.00
2.69Expected goals
2.09Morocco xG
0.61Niger xG
45%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Morocco 2.1 – 0.6 Niger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MoroccoNiger
Attack vs Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification average+16%-7%
Goals conceded vs average-27%+8%
Our expected goals here1.870.68

Our own ratings from every Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMorocco to win76%1.311.01
Double chanceMorocco or draw91%1.10–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score55%1.831.33
Draw no betMorocco (draw no bet)90%1.11–
Asian handicapMorocco -1 (Asian handicap)63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.741.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.551.59
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.231.20
First team to scoreMorocco to score first72%1.38–
Half-time resultMorocco ahead at half-time51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Morocco / FT Morocco47%2.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–010%9.75–

Recent results

Morocco – last 6

WWLWDW
29 Sep@ Lesotho2–0W
25 Sepvs Gabon2–0W
9 Jul@ France0–2L
4 Jul@ Canada3–0W
30 Jun@ Netherlands1–1D
24 Junvs Haiti4–2W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Niger – last 6

LLWLDL
6 Oct@ Algeria1–2L
29 Sep@ Gabon0–2L
25 Sepvs Lesotho2–1W
8 Junvs Mauritania0–1L
5 Jun@ Benin1–1D
31 Marvs Togo0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Morocco and Niger.

Morocco vs Niger head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco6600+2418
2Gabon6312-210
3Lesotho6114-114
4Central African Republic6105-113

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Comoros Congo 157%1.83X27%3.20216%4.56 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.42
Mozambique Ethiopia 162%1.54X24%3.74213%6.13 1.7–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.36
Zambia Burundi 161%1.58X25%3.62214%5.85 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.39
Burkina Faso Mauritania 162%1.53X24%3.72214%6.37 1.7–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.43
Cape Verde Islands Liberia 164%1.25X21%5.10215%12.00 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.26
Gabon Lesotho 169%1.22X19%5.45211%13.00 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28
Nigeria Tanzania 176%1.11X17%7.5027%18.50 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.47
South Africa Kenya 167%1.27X18%4.90215%11.30 1.9–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Morocco vs Niger?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.59.

Who will win Morocco vs Niger?

On our numbers Morocco have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Niger 9%.

How many goals will there be in Morocco vs Niger?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Morocco vs Niger?

Our predicted score is Morocco 2–0 Niger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Morocco vs Niger?

Morocco vs Niger (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.