Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Birmingham welcome Middlesbrough to St. Andrew's Stadium for a Championship fixture on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Birmingham are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 15 matches; Middlesbrough are 2nd (among the top four) with 29. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Birmingham, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Derby, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Middlesbrough, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Millwall, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Middlesbrough, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Birmingham.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Mar 2026) it ended Birmingham 1–3 Middlesbrough.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Birmingham 1.4 xG, Middlesbrough 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Birmingham 34%, draw 21%, Middlesbrough 44%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birmingham 1–1 Middlesbrough. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Birmingham34%fair 2.92 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Middlesbrough44%fair 2.26 · @2.30
3.07Expected goals
1.42Birmingham xG
1.65Middlesbrough xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Birmingham 1.4 – 1.7 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
On our numbers Birmingham have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Middlesbrough 44%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
Our predicted score is Birmingham 1–1 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at St. Andrew's Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
