Lincoln vs Swansea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lincoln welcome Swansea to Sincil Bank for a Championship fixture on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Lincoln are 21st, lower half, on 15 points after 15 matches; Swansea are 6th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Lincoln, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bristol City, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Swansea, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Burnley, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lincoln 0.9 xG, Swansea 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lincoln 36%, draw 23%, Swansea 41%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lincoln 1–1 Swansea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lincoln36%fair 2.80 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.20
Swansea41%fair 2.41 · @2.40
2.00Expected goals
0.94Lincoln xG
1.06Swansea xG
56%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lincoln 0.9 – 1.1 Swansea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swansea to win✓
41%
2.41
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Draw no bet
Swansea (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Lincoln +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Swansea to score first✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
7%
14.05
–
Recent results
Lincoln – last 6
WWLDDW
15 Sep
@ Bristol City
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Preston
1–0
W
8 Sep
@ Bournemouth
0–4
L
5 Sep
vs Southampton
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Blackburn
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Bolton
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Swansea – last 6
WLDWWD
12 Sep
vs Burnley
3–1
W
8 Sep
@ Southampton
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Wrexham
0–0
D
1 Sep
vs Watford
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Derby
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs Sheffield Utd
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and Swansea.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Lincoln vs Swansea?
On our numbers Lincoln have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Swansea 41%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln vs Swansea?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Swansea?
Our predicted score is Lincoln 1–1 Swansea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lincoln vs Swansea?
Lincoln vs Swansea (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sincil Bank.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
