Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Championship brings Stoke City against Sheffield Utd at bet365 Stadium. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Stoke City are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Sheffield Utd are 10th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Stoke City, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Watford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sheffield Utd, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fleetwood Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stoke City, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Sheffield Utd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stoke City 1.5 xG, Sheffield Utd 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stoke City 42%, draw 23%, Sheffield Utd 36%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stoke City 1–1 Sheffield Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stoke City42%fair 2.40 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.25
Sheffield Utd36%fair 2.80 · @2.90
2.79Expected goals
1.46Stoke City xG
1.33Sheffield Utd xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Stoke City 1.5 – 1.3 Sheffield Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stoke City to win✓
42%
2.40
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Draw no bet
Stoke City (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Sheffield Utd +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Stoke City to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stoke City / FT Stoke City✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.48
–
Recent results
Stoke City – last 6
WDWWLD
12 Sep
@ Watford
2–1
W
8 Sep
@ Cardiff
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Charlton
4–0
W
1 Sep
vs Norwich
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Wolves
1–4
L
25 Aug
vs Hull City
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sheffield Utd – last 6
LLWLWD
16 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Wolves
0–1
L
8 Sep
@ Blackburn
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Norwich
1–3
L
1 Sep
vs Bolton
3–2
W
29 Aug
@ Cardiff
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stoke City and Sheffield Utd.
What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd?
On our numbers Stoke City have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sheffield Utd 36%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd?
Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–1 Sheffield Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd?
Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at bet365 Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
