Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: QPR to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultQPR to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceQPR or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
QPR vs Preston: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: QPR v Preston in the Championship, played at Loftus Road. In the table, QPR are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; Preston are 24th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
QPR, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with West Brom, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Preston, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lincoln, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours QPR, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Preston.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Preston 1–1 QPR.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give QPR 1.7 xG, Preston 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – QPR 65%, draw 20%, Preston 15%.
Lower-risk option: QPR or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: QPR to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was QPR or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: QPR 1–0 Preston. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
QPR65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.60
Preston15%fair 6.86 · @4.33
2.29Expected goals
1.68QPR xG
0.61Preston xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: QPR 1.7 – 0.6 Preston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is QPR or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win QPR vs Preston?
On our numbers QPR have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Preston 15%.
How many goals will there be in QPR vs Preston?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Preston?
Our predicted score is QPR 1–0 Preston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is QPR vs Preston?
QPR vs Preston (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
