Millwall 16%Draw 20%West Ham 64%Expected goals 1.31 – 2.62
84%
Betarazi pick
West Ham or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: West Ham to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWest Ham to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceWest Ham or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Millwall vs West Ham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
West Ham travel to face Millwall on Saturday 19 September in the Championship, with The Den the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Millwall are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; West Ham are 9th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Millwall, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Middlesbrough, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
West Ham, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Fulham, at home. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours West Ham, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Millwall.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Millwall 1.3 xG, West Ham 2.6 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Millwall 16%, draw 20%, West Ham 64%.
Lower-risk option: West Ham or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: West Ham to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was West Ham or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millwall 1–2 West Ham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Millwall16%fair 6.22 · @3.90
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.60
West Ham64%fair 1.56 · @1.80
3.93Expected goals
1.31Millwall xG
2.62West Ham xG
63%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–27%
0–36%
2–26%
From our goals model: Millwall 1.3 – 2.6 West Ham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
West Ham to win✗
64%
1.56
1.80 ▲
Double chance
West Ham or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Draw no bet
West Ham (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
West Ham -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
First team to score
West Ham to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
West Ham ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT West Ham / FT West Ham✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.32
–
Recent results
Millwall – last 6
DLLWLL
15 Sep
@ Middlesbrough
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Blackburn
1–3
L
8 Sep
vs Newcastle
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Bolton
4–0
W
2 Sep
vs Wrexham
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Southampton
1–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
West Ham – last 6
LWWWWD
15 Sep
vs Fulham
2–3
L
11 Sep
vs Wrexham
6–0
W
8 Sep
@ Bolton
3–2
W
5 Sep
vs Derby
3–0
W
1 Sep
vs Wolves
4–2
W
29 Aug
@ Watford
1–1
D
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millwall and West Ham.
Our pick is West Ham or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Millwall vs West Ham?
On our numbers Millwall have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and West Ham 64%.
How many goals will there be in Millwall vs West Ham?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millwall vs West Ham?
Our predicted score is Millwall 1–2 West Ham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Millwall vs West Ham?
Millwall vs West Ham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Den.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
