Value bet: Blackburn to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPortsmouth to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Portsmouth vs Blackburn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Championship brings Portsmouth against Blackburn at Fratton Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Portsmouth are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Blackburn are 13th (lower half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Portsmouth, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Charlton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Blackburn, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Millwall, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Portsmouth, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Blackburn.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Blackburn 1–1 Portsmouth.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portsmouth 1.5 xG, Blackburn 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portsmouth 44%, draw 23%, Blackburn 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Blackburn to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portsmouth 1–1 Blackburn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portsmouth44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.25
Blackburn33%fair 2.99 · @3.30
2.69Expected goals
1.46Portsmouth xG
1.23Blackburn xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.5 – 1.2 Blackburn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
On our numbers Portsmouth have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Blackburn 33%.
How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–1 Blackburn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
Portsmouth vs Blackburn (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
