Blackburn vs Stoke City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Blackburn welcome Stoke City to Ewood Park for a Championship fixture on Tuesday 3 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, Blackburn are 13th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Stoke City are 3rd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Blackburn, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Swansea, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Stoke City, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Preston, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Blackburn 1.3 xG, Stoke City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Blackburn 37%, draw 23%, Stoke City 40%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blackburn 1–1 Stoke City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Blackburn37%fair 2.67 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Stoke City40%fair 2.52 · @2.62
2.68Expected goals
1.32Blackburn xG
1.36Stoke City xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Blackburn 1.3 – 1.4 Stoke City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stoke City to win✓
40%
2.52
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.80
Draw no bet
Stoke City (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Blackburn +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Stoke City to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stoke City / FT Stoke City✓
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
11.91
–
Recent results
Blackburn – last 6
LWLWWD
31 Oct
@ Swansea
0–4
L
24 Oct
vs Wrexham
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ West Brom
2–3
L
13 Oct
@ Bristol City
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Cardiff
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Portsmouth
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stoke City – last 6
WDWLWW
31 Oct
vs Preston
2–0
W
24 Oct
vs Bristol City
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Derby
1–0
W
13 Oct
vs Middlesbrough
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Bolton
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Sheffield Utd
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blackburn and Stoke City.
What is the prediction for Blackburn vs Stoke City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Blackburn vs Stoke City?
On our numbers Blackburn have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stoke City 40%.
How many goals will there be in Blackburn vs Stoke City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Stoke City?
Our predicted score is Blackburn 1–1 Stoke City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Blackburn vs Stoke City?
Blackburn vs Stoke City (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ewood Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
