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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Portsmouth v Swansea: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Fratton Park

Portsmouth

DWDWW
3–1
FT

Swansea

WLLWW
Portsmouth 38%Draw 23%Swansea 39% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.25
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultSwansea to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.45

Portsmouth vs Swansea: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Portsmouth welcome Swansea to Fratton Park for a Championship fixture on Tuesday 3 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, Portsmouth are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Swansea are 6th (upper half) with 26.

Current form

Portsmouth, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Burnley, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Swansea, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Blackburn, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Portsmouth 1–2 Swansea.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Portsmouth 1.2 xG, Swansea 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Portsmouth 38%, draw 23%, Swansea 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portsmouth 1–1 Swansea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portsmouth38%fair 2.62 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Swansea39%fair 2.56 · @2.55
2.47Expected goals
1.23Portsmouth xG
1.25Swansea xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.2 – 1.2 Swansea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSwansea to win ✗39%2.562.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.80
Draw no betSwansea (draw no bet) ✗51%1.98–
Asian handicapPortsmouth +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.331.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.10
First team to scoreSwansea to score first ✗46%2.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Swansea / FT Swansea ✗21%4.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.45–

Recent results

Portsmouth – last 6

DWDWWL
31 Oct@ Burnley0–0D
24 Octvs Millwall2–1W
20 Oct@ Wolves1–1D
17 Oct@ Norwich1–0W
14 Octvs Sheffield Utd3–2W
11 Oct@ Southampton0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Swansea – last 6

WLLWWW
31 Octvs Blackburn4–0W
24 Oct@ QPR0–5L
17 Octvs West Ham0–1L
13 Oct@ Millwall1–0W
10 Octvs Norwich2–1W
19 Sep@ Lincoln2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Mar 2026Portsmouth v Swansea1–2
Portsmouth vs Swansea head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub
FT Blackburn1 Stoke City2 137%2.62X23%3.25240%2.62 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Derby0 Norwich4 128%3.40X21%3.50250%2.05 1.3–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Preston2 Sheffield Utd3 126%3.50X22%3.40252%2.05 1.1–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT QPR1 Burnley1 155%1.95X25%3.60219%3.60 1.9–1.1xG 1XQPR or draw 81%@1.28 ✓
FT Watford1 Lincoln0 139%2.45X23%3.30238%2.80 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✗
FT Charlton0 Bolton1 141%2.25X22%3.40236%3.10 1.5–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✗
FT Birmingham3 Millwall0 160%1.95X24%3.60216%3.70 2.0–1.0xG 1XBirmingham or draw 84%@1.28 ✓
FT West Brom1 Southampton1 136%2.50X23%3.30241%2.75 1.4–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Swansea?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Portsmouth vs Swansea?

On our numbers Portsmouth have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Swansea 39%.

How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs Swansea?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Swansea?

Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–1 Swansea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Portsmouth vs Swansea?

Portsmouth vs Swansea (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.