Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Bolton to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCharlton to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Charlton vs Bolton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Charlton welcome Bolton to The Valley for a Championship fixture on Tuesday 3 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, Charlton are 19th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Bolton are 18th (lower half) with 17. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Charlton, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Middlesbrough, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Bolton, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Bristol City, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bolton, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Charlton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charlton 1.5 xG, Bolton 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charlton 41%, draw 22%, Bolton 36%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Bolton to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlton 1–1 Bolton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charlton41%fair 2.42 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Bolton36%fair 2.76 · @3.10
2.90Expected goals
1.51Charlton xG
1.39Bolton xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Charlton 1.5 – 1.4 Bolton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlton to win✗
41%
2.42
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.57
Draw no bet
Charlton (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Bolton +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
First team to score
Charlton to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlton / FT Charlton✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.48
–
Recent results
Charlton – last 6
LLLDDL
31 Oct
@ Middlesbrough
0–3
L
24 Oct
vs Norwich
1–3
L
17 Oct
@ Watford
0–2
L
13 Oct
@ Burnley
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Bristol City
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Cardiff
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bolton – last 6
LLDWLW
31 Oct
vs Bristol City
2–3
L
23 Oct
vs Middlesbrough
1–5
L
17 Oct
@ Southampton
0–0
D
13 Oct
@ Wolves
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Stoke City
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Norwich
4–3
W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlton and Bolton.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Charlton vs Bolton?
On our numbers Charlton have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bolton 36%.
How many goals will there be in Charlton vs Bolton?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Bolton?
Our predicted score is Charlton 1–1 Bolton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Charlton vs Bolton?
Charlton vs Bolton (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Valley.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
