West Brom 36%Draw 23%Southampton 41%Expected goals 1.37 – 1.49
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Southampton to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSouthampton to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.51
West Brom vs Southampton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Tuesday 3 November: West Brom v Southampton in the Championship, played at The Hawthorns. In the table, West Brom are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 15 matches; Southampton are 7th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
West Brom, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over West Ham, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Southampton, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over QPR, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended West Brom 1–1 Southampton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give West Brom 1.4 xG, Southampton 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – West Brom 36%, draw 23%, Southampton 41%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Southampton to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: West Brom 1–1 Southampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
West Brom36%fair 2.77 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
Southampton41%fair 2.43 · @2.75
2.86Expected goals
1.37West Brom xG
1.49Southampton xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: West Brom 1.4 – 1.5 Southampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for West Brom vs Southampton?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win West Brom vs Southampton?
On our numbers West Brom have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Southampton 41%.
How many goals will there be in West Brom vs Southampton?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Southampton?
Our predicted score is West Brom 1–1 Southampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is West Brom vs Southampton?
West Brom vs Southampton (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at The Hawthorns.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
