Value bet: Lincoln to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWatford to win ✓39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.97
Watford vs Lincoln: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 3 November the Championship brings Watford against Lincoln at Vicarage Road. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Watford are 20th, lower half, on 15 points after 15 matches; Lincoln are 21st (lower half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Watford, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Norwich, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Lincoln, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Birmingham, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Watford 1.4 xG, Lincoln 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Watford 39%, draw 23%, Lincoln 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Lincoln to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Watford 1–1 Lincoln. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Watford39%fair 2.55 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
Lincoln38%fair 2.62 · @2.80
2.72Expected goals
1.37Watford xG
1.35Lincoln xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Watford 1.4 – 1.3 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Watford to win✓
39%
2.55
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Draw no bet
Watford (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Lincoln +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Watford to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Watford / FT Watford✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.97
–
Recent results
Watford – last 6
LLWLLL
31 Oct
@ Norwich
2–3
L
24 Oct
@ Wolves
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Charlton
2–0
W
13 Oct
@ Cardiff
1–5
L
10 Oct
vs Burnley
0–4
L
18 Sep
@ Bristol City
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lincoln – last 6
LWDLLL
31 Oct
vs Birmingham
1–3
L
24 Oct
vs Burnley
4–1
W
17 Oct
@ Millwall
2–2
D
14 Oct
vs West Ham
0–6
L
10 Oct
@ Sheffield Utd
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Swansea
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Watford and Lincoln.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Watford vs Lincoln?
On our numbers Watford have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lincoln 38%.
How many goals will there be in Watford vs Lincoln?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Watford vs Lincoln?
Our predicted score is Watford 1–1 Lincoln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Watford vs Lincoln?
Watford vs Lincoln (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Vicarage Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
