Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultNorwich to win ✓50% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Derby vs Norwich: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Norwich travel to face Derby on Tuesday 3 November in the Championship, with Pride Park Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Derby are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 15 matches; Norwich are 12th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Derby, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Millwall, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Norwich, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Watford, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Norwich, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Derby.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Norwich 2–1 Derby.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derby 1.3 xG, Norwich 1.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derby 28%, draw 21%, Norwich 50%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derby 1–1 Norwich. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derby28%fair 3.53 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.50
Norwich50%fair 1.99 · @2.05
3.03Expected goals
1.26Derby xG
1.77Norwich xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Derby 1.3 – 1.8 Norwich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Derby vs Norwich?
On our numbers Derby have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Norwich 50%.
How many goals will there be in Derby vs Norwich?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derby vs Norwich?
Our predicted score is Derby 1–1 Norwich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Derby vs Norwich?
Derby vs Norwich (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Pride Park Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
