Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: QPR to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultQPR to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceQPR or draw ✓81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
QPR vs Burnley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 3 November: QPR v Burnley in the Championship, played at Loftus Road. In the table, QPR are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; Burnley are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
QPR, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Southampton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Burnley, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Portsmouth, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give QPR 1.9 xG, Burnley 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – QPR 55%, draw 25%, Burnley 19%.
Lower-risk option: QPR or draw (81%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: QPR to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was QPR or draw (81%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: QPR 1–1 Burnley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
QPR55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.60
Burnley19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
2.96Expected goals
1.89QPR xG
1.06Burnley xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: QPR 1.9 – 1.1 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
QPR to win✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Double chance
QPR or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Draw no bet
QPR (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Burnley +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
First team to score
QPR to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
QPR ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT QPR / FT QPR✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
QPR – last 6
LWLWDD
31 Oct
@ Southampton
1–4
L
24 Oct
vs Swansea
5–0
W
17 Oct
@ Birmingham
0–3
L
14 Oct
vs Derby
4–1
W
9 Oct
@ West Ham
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Preston
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Burnley – last 6
DLLDWD
31 Oct
vs Portsmouth
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Lincoln
1–4
L
16 Oct
vs Wolves
1–2
L
13 Oct
vs Charlton
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Watford
4–0
W
19 Sep
vs Derby
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between QPR and Burnley.
Our pick is QPR or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win QPR vs Burnley?
On our numbers QPR have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Burnley 19%.
How many goals will there be in QPR vs Burnley?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Burnley?
Our predicted score is QPR 1–1 Burnley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is QPR vs Burnley?
QPR vs Burnley (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
