Bristol Rovers 61%Draw 19%Newport County 20%Expected goals 2.19 – 1.18
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBristol Rovers to win ✓61% · @1.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Bristol Rovers vs Newport County: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newport County travel to face Bristol Rovers on Saturday 22 August in the League Two, with Memorial Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Bristol Rovers are 17th, lower half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Newport County are 14th (lower half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bristol Rovers, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to York, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Newport County, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Rochdale, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bristol Rovers 2.2 xG, Newport County 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bristol Rovers 61%, draw 19%, Newport County 20%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bristol Rovers 2–1 Newport County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bristol Rovers61%fair 1.65 · @1.69
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.80
Newport County20%fair 5.01 · @4.70
3.37Expected goals
2.19Bristol Rovers xG
1.18Newport County xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Bristol Rovers 2.2 – 1.2 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol Rovers to win✓
61%
1.65
1.69
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.75
Draw no bet
Bristol Rovers (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Bristol Rovers -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.12
First team to score
Bristol Rovers to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Bristol Rovers ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Bristol Rovers – last 6
LLDDLW
15 Aug
@ York
2–3
L
8 Aug
vs Peterborough
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ Forest Green
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Portsmouth
1–1
D
14 Jul
vs Leicester
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Salisbury
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newport County – last 6
WDLWLD
15 Aug
vs Rochdale
3–0
W
8 Aug
@ AFC Wimbledon
1–1
D
4 Aug
vs AS Roma
1–4
L
1 Aug
@ Yeovil Town
2–1
W
28 Jul
vs Reading
0–4
L
25 Jul
@ Bath City
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol Rovers and Newport County.
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Newport County?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Newport County?
On our numbers Bristol Rovers have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Newport County 20%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Newport County?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol Rovers vs Newport County?
Our predicted score is Bristol Rovers 2–1 Newport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Bristol Rovers vs Newport County?
Bristol Rovers vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Memorial Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
