Rochdale 57%Draw 25%Crawley Town 18%Expected goals 1.60 – 0.76
82%
Betarazi pick
Rochdale or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Rochdale to win @ 1.94 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRochdale to win ✗57% · @1.94
Double chanceRochdale or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Rochdale vs Crawley Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Rochdale v Crawley Town in the League Two, played at Spotland Stadium. In the table, Rochdale are 20th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Crawley Town are 24th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Rochdale, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Newport County, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Crawley Town, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Crewe, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Crawley Town, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Rochdale.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rochdale 1.6 xG, Crawley Town 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rochdale 57%, draw 25%, Crawley Town 18%.
Lower-risk option: Rochdale or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Rochdale to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rochdale or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rochdale 1–0 Crawley Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rochdale57%fair 1.74 · @1.94
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.50
Crawley Town18%fair 5.57 · @3.70
2.36Expected goals
1.60Rochdale xG
0.76Crawley Town xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Rochdale 1.6 – 0.8 Crawley Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rochdale to win✗
57%
1.74
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Rochdale or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.70
Draw no bet
Rochdale (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Crawley Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.12
First team to score
Rochdale to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rochdale / FT Rochdale✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Rochdale – last 6
LLDLDD
15 Aug
@ Newport County
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Bradford
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Tranmere
2–2
D
28 Jul
vs FC Halifax Town
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Farnham Town
2–2
D
19 Jul
vs Al-Rayyan SC
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Crawley Town – last 6
LLWLLW
15 Aug
vs Crewe
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Watford
0–1
L
3 Aug
@ York
2–0
W
31 Jul
vs Reading
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ Oxford United
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ Eastleigh
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Crawley Town.
What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Crawley Town?
Our pick is Rochdale or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rochdale vs Crawley Town?
On our numbers Rochdale have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Crawley Town 18%.
How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Crawley Town?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochdale vs Crawley Town?
Our predicted score is Rochdale 1–0 Crawley Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rochdale vs Crawley Town?
Rochdale vs Crawley Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spotland Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
