Value bet: Chesterfield to win @ 3.65 – our chance 42% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +54%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChesterfield to win ✓42% · @3.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 9.25
Salford City vs Chesterfield: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Salford City v Chesterfield in the League Two, played at Peninsula Stadium. In the table, Salford City are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 14 matches; Chesterfield are 10th (upper half) with 19. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Salford City, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Barnet, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Chesterfield, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fleetwood Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Salford City, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Chesterfield.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Salford City 1.2 xG, Chesterfield 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Salford City 35%, draw 22%, Chesterfield 42%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Chesterfield to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Salford City 1–1 Chesterfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Salford City35%fair 2.83 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.35
Chesterfield42%fair 2.36 · @3.65
2.51Expected goals
1.18Salford City xG
1.33Chesterfield xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Salford City 1.2 – 1.3 Chesterfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
42%
2.36
3.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Chesterfield (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Salford City +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Chesterfield to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✓
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
9.25
–
Recent results
Salford City – last 6
LDDWWW
15 Aug
@ Barnet
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs Shrewsbury
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Bradford
2–2
D
28 Jul
@ Carlisle
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Dundee Utd
3–2
W
18 Jul
@ United of Manchester
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chesterfield – last 6
LLDLDW
15 Aug
vs Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ Scunthorpe
1–1
D
14 Jul
@ FC Halifax Town
2–3
L
11 Jul
vs Sheffield Utd
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Grimsby
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salford City and Chesterfield.
What is the prediction for Salford City vs Chesterfield?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Salford City vs Chesterfield?
On our numbers Salford City have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chesterfield 42%.
How many goals will there be in Salford City vs Chesterfield?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salford City vs Chesterfield?
Our predicted score is Salford City 1–1 Chesterfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Salford City vs Chesterfield?
Salford City vs Chesterfield (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Peninsula Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
