Fleetwood Town 63%Draw 21%Gillingham 16%Expected goals 1.65 – 0.66
84%
Betarazi pick
Fleetwood Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Fleetwood Town to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFleetwood Town to win ✗63% · @1.90
Double chanceFleetwood Town or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Fleetwood Town v Gillingham in the League Two, played at Highbury Stadium. In the table, Fleetwood Town are 16th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Gillingham are 8th (upper half) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fleetwood Town, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chesterfield, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gillingham, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Walsall, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fleetwood Town, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Gillingham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fleetwood Town 1.6 xG, Gillingham 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fleetwood Town 63%, draw 21%, Gillingham 16%.
Lower-risk option: Fleetwood Town or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Fleetwood Town to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fleetwood Town or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fleetwood Town 1–0 Gillingham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fleetwood Town63%fair 1.59 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Gillingham16%fair 6.14 · @3.90
2.31Expected goals
1.65Fleetwood Town xG
0.66Gillingham xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Fleetwood Town 1.6 – 0.7 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fleetwood Town to win✗
63%
1.59
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Fleetwood Town or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.75
Draw no bet
Fleetwood Town (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Fleetwood Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.10
First team to score
Fleetwood Town to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fleetwood Town / FT Fleetwood Town✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.23
–
Recent results
Fleetwood Town – last 6
WWLDWW
15 Aug
@ Chesterfield
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Chesterfield
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Hartlepool
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs Bolton
1–1
D
21 Jul
vs Huddersfield
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Southport
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gillingham – last 6
LLWWLW
15 Aug
vs Walsall
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Luton
0–3
L
31 Jul
@ Ebbsfleet United
2–1
W
21 Jul
vs Millwall
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Charlton
0–1
L
14 Jul
@ Dover
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fleetwood Town and Gillingham.
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?
Our pick is Fleetwood Town or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?
On our numbers Fleetwood Town have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gillingham 16%.
How many goals will there be in Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?
Our predicted score is Fleetwood Town 1–0 Gillingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?
Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Highbury Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
