Port Vale 65%Draw 22%Tranmere 13%Expected goals 1.67 – 0.57
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPort Vale to win ✗65% · @1.73
Double chancePort Vale or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Port Vale vs Tranmere: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the League Two brings Port Vale against Tranmere at Vale Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Port Vale are 19th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Tranmere are 11th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Port Vale, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Oldham, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tranmere, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Shrewsbury, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Port Vale 1.7 xG, Tranmere 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Port Vale 65%, draw 22%, Tranmere 13%.
Lower-risk option: Port Vale or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Port Vale to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Port Vale 1–0 Tranmere. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Port Vale65%fair 1.54 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.50
Tranmere13%fair 7.65 · @4.85
2.24Expected goals
1.67Port Vale xG
0.57Tranmere xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Port Vale 1.7 – 0.6 Tranmere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Port Vale to win✗
65%
1.54
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Port Vale or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.91
Draw no bet
Port Vale (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Port Vale -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.08
First team to score
Port Vale to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Port Vale – last 6
LLWWWW
15 Aug
@ Oldham
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ Wolves
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Blackpool
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Real Murcia
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Wigan
3–1
W
14 Jul
vs Tamworth
5–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tranmere – last 6
WDWWLL
15 Aug
vs Shrewsbury
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Rochdale
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Blackpool
2–0
W
21 Apr
@ Cheltenham
3–1
W
6 Apr
vs Colchester
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Shrewsbury
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Tranmere.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Port Vale vs Tranmere?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tranmere 13%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Tranmere?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Tranmere?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 1–0 Tranmere, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Tranmere?
Port Vale vs Tranmere (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
