Exeter City 60%Draw 22%Accrington ST 18%Expected goals 1.75 – 0.81
82%
Betarazi pick
Exeter City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Exeter City to win @ 1.94 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultExeter City to win ✓60% · @1.94
Double chanceExeter City or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Exeter City vs Accrington ST: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the League Two brings Exeter City against Accrington ST at St James Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Exeter City are 12th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Accrington ST are 9th (upper half) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Exeter City, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Grimsby, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Accrington ST, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Colchester, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Accrington ST, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Exeter City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Exeter City 1.8 xG, Accrington ST 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Exeter City 60%, draw 22%, Accrington ST 18%.
Lower-risk option: Exeter City or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Exeter City to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Exeter City or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Exeter City 1–0 Accrington ST. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Exeter City60%fair 1.66 · @1.94
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.40
Accrington ST18%fair 5.67 · @3.80
2.57Expected goals
1.75Exeter City xG
0.81Accrington ST xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Exeter City 1.8 – 0.8 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Exeter City to win✓
60%
1.66
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Exeter City or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.73
Draw no bet
Exeter City (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Accrington ST +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Exeter City to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Exeter City ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Exeter City / FT Exeter City✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Exeter City – last 6
LLDLWL
15 Aug
@ Grimsby
0–1
L
10 Aug
@ Plymouth
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Bristol City
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ Torquay
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Weston-super-Mare
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Truro City
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Accrington ST – last 6
DLDWWW
15 Aug
vs Colchester
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Crewe
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Sheffield Wednesday
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Bury
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Chorley
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs Bradford
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Exeter City and Accrington ST.
What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Accrington ST?
Our pick is Exeter City or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Exeter City vs Accrington ST?
On our numbers Exeter City have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Accrington ST 18%.
How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Accrington ST?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Accrington ST?
Our predicted score is Exeter City 1–0 Accrington ST, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Exeter City vs Accrington ST?
Exeter City vs Accrington ST (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
