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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Colchester v Oldham: numbers & prediction

League Two · England
2–1
FT

Oldham

WLWLL
Colchester 37%Draw 22%Oldham 41% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.46
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Oldham to win @ 2.72 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOldham to win ✗41% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59

Colchester vs Oldham: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Colchester welcome Oldham for a League Two fixture on Saturday 22 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Colchester are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 13 matches; Oldham are 18th (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Colchester, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Accrington ST, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Oldham, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Port Vale, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Oldham, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Colchester.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Colchester 1–3 Oldham.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Colchester 1.4 xG, Oldham 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Colchester 37%, draw 22%, Oldham 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Oldham to win @2.72 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colchester 1–1 Oldham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Colchester37%fair 2.71 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.40
Oldham41%fair 2.42 · @2.72
2.82Expected goals
1.36Colchester xG
1.46Oldham xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%

From our goals model: Colchester 1.4 – 1.5 Oldham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOldham to win ✗41%2.422.72 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.67
Draw no betOldham (draw no bet) ✗53%1.89–
Asian handicapColchester +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.941.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.11
First team to scoreOldham to score first ✓49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oldham / FT Oldham ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.59–

Recent results

Colchester – last 6

DLLLDL
15 Aug@ Accrington ST2–2D
8 Augvs Southampton0–2L
1 Aug@ Stevenage0–1L
28 Julvs Charlton0–2L
24 Julvs West Ham United U212–2D
21 Julvs Peterborough2–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Oldham – last 6

WLWLLL
15 Augvs Port Vale2–0W
8 Aug@ Stoke City0–2L
1 Augvs Sheffield Wednesday4–0W
28 Julvs Stockport County0–1L
21 Julvs Bolton1–3L
14 Apr@ Barrow2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Colchester v Oldham1–3
Colchester vs Oldham head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colchester vs Oldham?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Colchester vs Oldham?

On our numbers Colchester have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Oldham 41%.

How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Oldham?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Oldham?

Our predicted score is Colchester 1–1 Oldham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Colchester vs Oldham?

Colchester vs Oldham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.