Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRotherham to win ✗40% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.94
Rotherham vs York: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the League Two brings Rotherham against York at Aesseal New York Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Rotherham are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; York are 7th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Rotherham, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cheltenham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
York, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Bristol Rovers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rotherham, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for York.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rotherham 1.7 xG, York 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rotherham 40%, draw 23%, York 38%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.27, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rotherham 1–1 York. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rotherham40%fair 2.53 · @2.46
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
York38%fair 2.65 · @2.75
3.32Expected goals
1.68Rotherham xG
1.64York xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Rotherham 1.7 – 1.6 York expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotherham to win✗
40%
2.53
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.67
Draw no bet
Rotherham (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
York +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.11
First team to score
Rotherham to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rotherham / FT Rotherham✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.94
–
Recent results
Rotherham – last 6
LLDWLW
15 Aug
@ Cheltenham
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs West Brom
1–4
L
4 Aug
vs Derby
1–1
D
28 Jul
@ Darlington 1883
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Sheffield Utd
0–2
L
21 Jul
@ Alfreton Town
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
York – last 6
WLLDLL
15 Aug
vs Bristol Rovers
3–2
W
3 Aug
vs Crawley Town
0–2
L
28 Jul
vs Peterborough
1–2
L
24 Jul
vs Al-Ettifaq
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Sunderland
1–5
L
14 Jul
@ Pickering Town
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotherham and York.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rotherham vs York?
On our numbers Rotherham have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and York 38%.
How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs York?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotherham vs York?
Our predicted score is Rotherham 1–1 York, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Rotherham vs York?
Rotherham vs York (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Aesseal New York Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
