Colchester vs Rochdale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Colchester v Rochdale in the League Two. In the table, Colchester are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 13 matches; Rochdale are 20th (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Colchester, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Oldham, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Rochdale, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Crawley Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Colchester, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Rochdale.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colchester 1.6 xG, Rochdale 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colchester 43%, draw 22%, Rochdale 34%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colchester 1–1 Rochdale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colchester43%fair 2.30 · @2.32
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
Rochdale34%fair 2.93 · @2.95
2.93Expected goals
1.57Colchester xG
1.36Rochdale xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Colchester 1.6 – 1.4 Rochdale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colchester to win✓
43%
2.30
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.73
Draw no bet
Colchester (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Rochdale +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.10
First team to score
Colchester to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colchester / FT Colchester✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Colchester – last 6
WDLLLD
22 Aug
vs Oldham
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Accrington ST
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Southampton
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Stevenage
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs Charlton
0–2
L
24 Jul
vs West Ham United U21
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rochdale – last 6
LLLDLD
22 Aug
vs Crawley Town
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Newport County
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Bradford
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Tranmere
2–2
D
28 Jul
vs FC Halifax Town
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Farnham Town
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Rochdale.
What is the prediction for Colchester vs Rochdale?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Colchester vs Rochdale?
On our numbers Colchester have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rochdale 34%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Rochdale?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Rochdale?
Our predicted score is Colchester 1–1 Rochdale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Colchester vs Rochdale?
Colchester vs Rochdale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
