Grimsby 60%Draw 25%Fleetwood Town 15%Expected goals 1.17 – 0.36
83%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.28Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGrimsby to win ✗60% · @1.90
Double chanceGrimsby or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 3.96
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grimsby welcome Fleetwood Town to Blundell Park for a League Two fixture on Saturday 29 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Grimsby are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Fleetwood Town are 16th (lower half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Grimsby, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Walsall, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Fleetwood Town, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Shrewsbury, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Grimsby 1–0 Fleetwood Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grimsby 1.2 xG, Fleetwood Town 0.4 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grimsby 60%, draw 25%, Fleetwood Town 15%.
Lower-risk option: Grimsby or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (83%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grimsby 1–0 Fleetwood Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grimsby60%fair 1.67 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.45
Fleetwood Town15%fair 6.85 · @3.90
1.53Expected goals
1.17Grimsby xG
0.36Fleetwood Town xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–025%
0–022%
2–015%
1–19%
0–18%
3–06%
From our goals model: Grimsby 1.2 – 0.4 Fleetwood Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
On our numbers Grimsby have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fleetwood Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
Our predicted score is Grimsby 1–0 Fleetwood Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Blundell Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
