Oldham 62%Draw 24%Swindon Town 14%Expected goals 1.68 – 0.65
86%
Betarazi pick
Oldham or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Oldham to win @ 1.94 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOldham to win ✓62% · @1.94
Double chanceOldham or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Oldham vs Swindon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Oldham welcome Swindon Town to Boundary Park for a League Two fixture on Saturday 29 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Oldham are 18th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Swindon Town are 13th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Oldham, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Colchester, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Swindon Town, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cheltenham, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Swindon Town, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Oldham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oldham 1.7 xG, Swindon Town 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oldham 62%, draw 24%, Swindon Town 14%.
Lower-risk option: Oldham or draw (86%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Oldham to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Oldham or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oldham 1–0 Swindon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oldham62%fair 1.60 · @1.94
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.45
Swindon Town14%fair 7.17 · @3.75
2.32Expected goals
1.68Oldham xG
0.65Swindon Town xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Oldham 1.7 – 0.6 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oldham to win✓
62%
1.60
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Oldham or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.70
Draw no bet
Oldham (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Oldham -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.11
First team to score
Oldham to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oldham / FT Oldham✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Oldham – last 6
LWLWLL
22 Aug
@ Colchester
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Port Vale
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Stoke City
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Sheffield Wednesday
4–0
W
28 Jul
vs Stockport County
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs Bolton
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Swindon Town – last 6
WDLWWL
22 Aug
vs Cheltenham
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Northampton
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Cardiff
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ Forest Green
4–1
W
28 Jul
vs Leyton Orient
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Bristol City
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oldham and Swindon Town.
What is the prediction for Oldham vs Swindon Town?
Our pick is Oldham or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Oldham vs Swindon Town?
On our numbers Oldham have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Swindon Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Oldham vs Swindon Town?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oldham vs Swindon Town?
Our predicted score is Oldham 1–0 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Oldham vs Swindon Town?
Oldham vs Swindon Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Boundary Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
