Value bet: Tranmere to win @ 2.64 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTranmere to win ✗42% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Newport County vs Tranmere: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tranmere travel to face Newport County on Saturday 29 August in the League Two, with Rodney Parade the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Newport County are 14th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Tranmere are 11th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Newport County, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Bristol Rovers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Tranmere, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Port Vale, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tranmere, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Newport County.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Newport County 3–1 Tranmere.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newport County 1.5 xG, Tranmere 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newport County 35%, draw 23%, Tranmere 42%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Tranmere to win @2.64 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.38 – longer than our fair 1.33, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newport County 1–1 Tranmere. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newport County35%fair 2.84 · @2.64
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20
Tranmere42%fair 2.39 · @2.64
3.11Expected goals
1.48Newport County xG
1.63Tranmere xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Newport County 1.5 – 1.6 Tranmere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Newport County vs Tranmere?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Newport County vs Tranmere?
On our numbers Newport County have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tranmere 42%.
How many goals will there be in Newport County vs Tranmere?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport County vs Tranmere?
Our predicted score is Newport County 1–1 Tranmere, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Newport County vs Tranmere?
Newport County vs Tranmere (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
