Crawley Town 36%Draw 22%Bristol Rovers 42%Expected goals 1.64 – 1.80
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Crawley Town to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBristol Rovers to win ✓42% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the League Two brings Crawley Town against Bristol Rovers at The Broadfield Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Crawley Town are 24th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Bristol Rovers are 17th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Crawley Town, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rochdale, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Bristol Rovers, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Chelsea U21, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crawley Town 1.6 xG, Bristol Rovers 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crawley Town 36%, draw 22%, Bristol Rovers 42%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Crawley Town to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crawley Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crawley Town36%fair 2.79 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.40
Bristol Rovers42%fair 2.36 · @2.12
3.45Expected goals
1.64Crawley Town xG
1.80Bristol Rovers xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Crawley Town 1.6 – 1.8 Bristol Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol Rovers to win✓
42%
2.36
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.70
Draw no bet
Bristol Rovers (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Crawley Town +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.91 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.11
First team to score
Bristol Rovers to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers✓
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Crawley Town – last 6
WLLWLL
22 Aug
@ Rochdale
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Crewe
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Watford
0–1
L
3 Aug
@ York
2–0
W
31 Jul
vs Reading
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ Oxford United
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bristol Rovers – last 6
DWLLDD
25 Aug
vs Chelsea U21
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Newport County
5–3
W
15 Aug
@ York
2–3
L
8 Aug
vs Peterborough
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ Forest Green
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Portsmouth
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers.
What is the prediction for Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers?
On our numbers Crawley Town have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bristol Rovers 42%.
How many goals will there be in Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Our predicted score is Crawley Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Broadfield Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
