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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rotherham v Chesterfield: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Aesseal New York Stadium
2–1
FT
Rotherham 34%Draw 22%Chesterfield 43% Expected goals 1.00 – 1.18
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultChesterfield to win ✗43% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.69

Rotherham vs Chesterfield: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Rotherham v Chesterfield in the League Two, played at Aesseal New York Stadium. In the table, Rotherham are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Chesterfield are 10th (upper half) with 19.

Current form

Rotherham, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with York, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Chesterfield, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Salford City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rotherham 1.0 xG, Chesterfield 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rotherham 34%, draw 22%, Chesterfield 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rotherham 0–1 Chesterfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rotherham34%fair 2.93 · @2.94
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
Chesterfield43%fair 2.30 · @2.32
2.18Expected goals
1.00Rotherham xG
1.18Chesterfield xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%

From our goals model: Rotherham 1.0 – 1.2 Chesterfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChesterfield to win ✗43%2.302.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.70
Draw no betChesterfield (draw no bet) ✗56%1.79–
Asian handicapRotherham +1 (Asian handicap) ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.10
First team to scoreChesterfield to score first ✗48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield ✗23%4.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.69–

Recent results

Rotherham – last 6

DLLDWL
22 Augvs York1–1D
15 Aug@ Cheltenham1–2L
8 Augvs West Brom1–4L
4 Augvs Derby1–1D
28 Jul@ Darlington 18832–0W
25 Julvs Sheffield Utd0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Chesterfield – last 6

WLLDLD
22 Aug@ Salford City1–0W
15 Augvs Fleetwood Town0–1L
8 Aug@ Fleetwood Town0–1L
31 Jul@ Scunthorpe1–1D
14 Jul@ FC Halifax Town2–3L
11 Julvs Sheffield Utd0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rotherham and Chesterfield.

Rotherham vs Chesterfield head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rotherham vs Chesterfield?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Rotherham vs Chesterfield?

On our numbers Rotherham have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chesterfield 43%.

How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs Chesterfield?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rotherham vs Chesterfield?

Our predicted score is Rotherham 0–1 Chesterfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Rotherham vs Chesterfield?

Rotherham vs Chesterfield (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Aesseal New York Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.