Value bet: Crewe to win @ 3.15 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPort Vale to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.36
Port Vale vs Crewe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the League Two brings Port Vale against Crewe at Vale Park. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Port Vale are 19th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Crewe are 4th (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Port Vale, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tranmere, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Crewe, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Barnsley, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Port Vale 1.1 xG, Crewe 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Port Vale 43%, draw 22%, Crewe 35%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Crewe to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.29, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Port Vale 1–0 Crewe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Port Vale43%fair 2.34 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
Crewe35%fair 2.87 · @3.15
2.07Expected goals
1.11Port Vale xG
0.96Crewe xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Port Vale 1.1 – 1.0 Crewe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Port Vale to win✗
43%
2.34
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.67
Draw no bet
Port Vale (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Crewe +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.11
First team to score
Port Vale to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.36
–
Recent results
Port Vale – last 6
DLLWWW
22 Aug
vs Tranmere
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Oldham
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ Wolves
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Blackpool
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Real Murcia
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Wigan
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Crewe – last 6
LWWWDL
25 Aug
@ Barnsley
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Northampton
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Crawley Town
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Accrington ST
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Chester
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Birmingham
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Crewe.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Port Vale vs Crewe?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Crewe 35%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Crewe?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Crewe?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 1–0 Crewe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Crewe?
Port Vale vs Crewe (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
