Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNorthampton to win ✗43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 15.51
Gillingham vs Northampton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Northampton travel to face Gillingham on Saturday 29 August in the League Two, with Priestfield Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Gillingham are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Northampton are 21st (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Gillingham, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fleetwood Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Northampton, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Crewe, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gillingham 0.8 xG, Northampton 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gillingham 34%, draw 23%, Northampton 43%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gillingham 0–0 Northampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gillingham34%fair 2.92 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
Northampton43%fair 2.32 · @2.62
1.78Expected goals
0.81Gillingham xG
0.97Northampton xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Gillingham 0.8 – 1.0 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northampton to win✗
43%
2.32
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.73
Draw no bet
Northampton (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Gillingham +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.09
First team to score
Northampton to score first
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
6%
15.51
–
Recent results
Gillingham – last 6
DLLWWL
22 Aug
@ Fleetwood Town
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Walsall
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Luton
0–3
L
31 Jul
@ Ebbsfleet United
2–1
W
21 Jul
vs Millwall
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Charlton
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Northampton – last 6
LLDLWD
22 Aug
@ Crewe
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Brighton U21
0–3
L
15 Aug
vs Swindon Town
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Leicester
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Solihull Moors
4–2
W
28 Jul
@ Cambridge United
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Northampton.
What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Northampton?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Gillingham vs Northampton?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Northampton 43%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Northampton?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Northampton?
Our predicted score is Gillingham 0–0 Northampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Gillingham vs Northampton?
Gillingham vs Northampton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
