Value bet: Bristol Rovers to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBristol Rovers to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceBristol Rovers or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Exeter City travel to face Bristol Rovers on Saturday 26 September in the League Two, with Memorial Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Bristol Rovers are 17th, lower half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Exeter City are 12th (upper half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bristol Rovers, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Gillingham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Exeter City, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cheltenham, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bristol Rovers, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Exeter City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bristol Rovers 1.8 xG, Exeter City 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bristol Rovers 66%, draw 21%, Exeter City 14%.
Lower-risk option: Bristol Rovers or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Bristol Rovers to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bristol Rovers 2–0 Exeter City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bristol Rovers66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.75
Exeter City14%fair 7.27 · @4.75
2.54Expected goals
1.85Bristol Rovers xG
0.69Exeter City xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Bristol Rovers 1.8 – 0.7 Exeter City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol Rovers to win✓
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Bristol Rovers or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
Bristol Rovers (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Bristol Rovers -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.14
First team to score
Bristol Rovers to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Bristol Rovers ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.76
–
Recent results
Bristol Rovers – last 6
LLWWWD
19 Sep
@ Gillingham
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Grimsby
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Rotherham
1–0
W
1 Sep
vs Colchester
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Crawley Town
2–0
W
25 Aug
vs Chelsea U21
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Exeter City – last 6
DDLWDD
22 Sep
@ Cheltenham
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Tranmere
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
8 Sep
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Walsall
0–0
D
1 Sep
vs Barnet
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol Rovers and Exeter City.
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City?
On our numbers Bristol Rovers have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Exeter City 14%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City?
Our predicted score is Bristol Rovers 2–0 Exeter City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City?
Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Memorial Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
