Rotherham vs Crewe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Rotherham v Crewe in the League Two, played at New York Stadium. In the table, Rotherham are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Crewe are 4th (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Rotherham, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with York, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Crewe, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Aston Villa U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rotherham 1.5 xG, Crewe 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rotherham 48%, draw 21%, Crewe 31%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rotherham 1–1 Crewe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rotherham48%fair 2.09 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.60
Crewe31%fair 3.21 · @3.20
2.59Expected goals
1.47Rotherham xG
1.12Crewe xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Rotherham 1.5 – 1.1 Crewe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotherham to win✗
48%
2.09
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Draw no bet
Rotherham (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Crewe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.17
First team to score
Rotherham to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rotherham / FT Rotherham✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
Rotherham – last 6
DWDLDW
22 Sep
@ York
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Northampton
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Salford City
3–3
D
5 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Tranmere
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Chesterfield
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Crewe – last 6
WDDDDD
22 Sep
vs Aston Villa U21
4–1
W
19 Sep
vs Shrewsbury
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Colchester
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs York
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Walsall
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Port Vale
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotherham and Crewe.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rotherham vs Crewe?
On our numbers Rotherham have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Crewe 31%.
How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs Crewe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotherham vs Crewe?
Our predicted score is Rotherham 1–1 Crewe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rotherham vs Crewe?
Rotherham vs Crewe (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New York Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
