Port Vale 43%Draw 23%Northampton 34%Expected goals 0.83 – 0.67
50%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 2.00 · bookmaker 1.91
3/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultPort Vale to win43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–15% · fair 19.35
Port Vale vs Northampton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Northampton travel to face Port Vale on Saturday 26 September in the League Two, with Vale Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Port Vale are 19th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Northampton are 21st (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Port Vale, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chesterfield, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Northampton, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rotherham, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended Northampton 0–1 Port Vale.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Port Vale 0.8 xG, Northampton 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Port Vale 43%, draw 23%, Northampton 34%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.91.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Port Vale 1–1 Northampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Port Vale43%fair 2.31 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Northampton34%fair 2.98 · @3.10
1.50Expected goals
0.83Port Vale xG
0.67Northampton xG
50%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
1–019%
0–115%
1–112%
2–08%
2–15%
From our goals model: Port Vale 0.8 – 0.7 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Port Vale vs Northampton?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Port Vale vs Northampton?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Northampton 34%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Northampton?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Northampton?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 1–1 Northampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Northampton?
Port Vale vs Northampton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
