Fleetwood Town 59%Draw 21%Rochdale 20%Expected goals 1.64 – 0.81
80%
Betarazi pick
Fleetwood Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Fleetwood Town to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFleetwood Town to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceFleetwood Town or draw ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fleetwood Town welcome Rochdale to Highbury Stadium for a League Two fixture on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Fleetwood Town are 16th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Rochdale are 20th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fleetwood Town, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Oldham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Rochdale, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Liverpool U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fleetwood Town 1.6 xG, Rochdale 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fleetwood Town 59%, draw 21%, Rochdale 20%.
Lower-risk option: Fleetwood Town or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Fleetwood Town to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fleetwood Town or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fleetwood Town 1–0 Rochdale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fleetwood Town59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.60
Rochdale20%fair 4.98 · @3.90
2.46Expected goals
1.64Fleetwood Town xG
0.81Rochdale xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Fleetwood Town 1.6 – 0.8 Rochdale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fleetwood Town to win✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Fleetwood Town or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Draw no bet
Fleetwood Town (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Rochdale +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.11
First team to score
Fleetwood Town to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fleetwood Town / FT Fleetwood Town✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Fleetwood Town – last 6
LLWDWD
22 Sep
@ Oldham
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Barnet
1–3
L
16 Sep
vs Sheffield Utd
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Newport County
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Shrewsbury
2–0
W
1 Sep
vs Oldham
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rochdale – last 6
DWDLWL
22 Sep
vs Liverpool U21
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Oldham
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Walsall
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Gillingham
1–4
L
1 Sep
vs Shrewsbury
3–0
W
29 Aug
@ Colchester
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fleetwood Town and Rochdale.
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
Our pick is Fleetwood Town or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
On our numbers Fleetwood Town have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rochdale 20%.
How many goals will there be in Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
Our predicted score is Fleetwood Town 1–0 Rochdale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Highbury Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
