Shrewsbury vs Colchester: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the League Two brings Shrewsbury against Colchester at New Meadow. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Shrewsbury are 15th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Colchester are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Shrewsbury, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tranmere, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Colchester, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Peterborough, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shrewsbury 1.3 xG, Colchester 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shrewsbury 41%, draw 23%, Colchester 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shrewsbury 1–1 Colchester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shrewsbury41%fair 2.43 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.30
Colchester36%fair 2.75 · @2.70
2.50Expected goals
1.30Shrewsbury xG
1.20Colchester xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Shrewsbury 1.3 – 1.2 Colchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shrewsbury to win✗
41%
2.43
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.73
Draw no bet
Shrewsbury (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Colchester +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Shrewsbury to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shrewsbury / FT Shrewsbury✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Shrewsbury – last 6
LDWLLW
22 Sep
@ Tranmere
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Crewe
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Northampton
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
0–2
L
1 Sep
@ Rochdale
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Salford City
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Colchester – last 6
LDDLLW
22 Sep
@ Peterborough
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Cheltenham
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Crewe
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–3
L
1 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Rochdale
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shrewsbury and Colchester.
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury vs Colchester?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Colchester?
On our numbers Shrewsbury have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Colchester 36%.
How many goals will there be in Shrewsbury vs Colchester?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shrewsbury vs Colchester?
Our predicted score is Shrewsbury 1–1 Colchester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shrewsbury vs Colchester?
Shrewsbury vs Colchester (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New Meadow.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
