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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cheltenham v Chesterfield: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Whaddon Road
2–1
FT
Cheltenham 34%Draw 21%Chesterfield 45% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.63
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultChesterfield to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.03

Cheltenham vs Chesterfield: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 26 September the League Two brings Cheltenham against Chesterfield at Whaddon Road. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Cheltenham are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Chesterfield are 10th (upper half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cheltenham, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Exeter City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Chesterfield, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Port Vale, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Chesterfield 1–0 Cheltenham.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cheltenham 1.4 xG, Chesterfield 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cheltenham 34%, draw 21%, Chesterfield 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cheltenham 1–1 Chesterfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cheltenham34%fair 2.96 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.60
Chesterfield45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
3.00Expected goals
1.37Cheltenham xG
1.63Chesterfield xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Cheltenham 1.4 – 1.6 Chesterfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChesterfield to win ✗45%2.212.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.57
Draw no betChesterfield (draw no bet) ✗57%1.74–
Asian handicapCheltenham +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.551.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
First team to scoreChesterfield to score first ✗52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.03–

Recent results

Cheltenham – last 6

DDWDWD
22 Sepvs Exeter City2–2D
19 Sep@ Colchester1–1D
12 Sep@ Crawley Town3–1W
5 Sepvs Grimsby2–2D
1 Sepvs York3–2W
29 Aug@ Barnet2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Chesterfield – last 6

DWWWDD
22 Sepvs Port Vale1–1D
19 Sepvs York2–0W
15 Sepvs Manchester City U215–3W
12 Sep@ Oldham2–1W
5 Sepvs Barnet3–3D
1 Sepvs Gillingham1–1D
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Chesterfield v Cheltenham1–0
Cheltenham vs Chesterfield head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cheltenham vs Chesterfield?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Cheltenham vs Chesterfield?

On our numbers Cheltenham have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chesterfield 45%.

How many goals will there be in Cheltenham vs Chesterfield?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cheltenham vs Chesterfield?

Our predicted score is Cheltenham 1–1 Chesterfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Cheltenham vs Chesterfield?

Cheltenham vs Chesterfield (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Whaddon Road.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.