Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Barnet to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBarnet to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceBarnet or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Barnet vs Oldham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the League Two brings Barnet against Oldham at The Hive Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Barnet are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Oldham are 18th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Barnet, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Swindon Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Oldham, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Walsall, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barnet 2.3 xG, Oldham 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barnet 65%, draw 20%, Oldham 14%.
Lower-risk option: Barnet or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Barnet to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Barnet or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barnet 2–0 Oldham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barnet65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.60
Oldham14%fair 6.92 · @4.40
3.24Expected goals
2.25Barnet xG
0.99Oldham xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Barnet 2.3 – 1.0 Oldham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnet to win✗
65%
1.54
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Barnet or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Draw no bet
Barnet (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Barnet -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
First team to score
Barnet to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Barnet ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barnet / FT Barnet✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Barnet – last 6
LWWDWW
20 Oct
vs Swindon Town
1–3
L
17 Oct
@ Tranmere
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Bristol Rovers
3–1
W
6 Oct
@ AFC Wimbledon
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Fleetwood Town
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Accrington ST
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Oldham – last 6
LWWDLW
20 Oct
@ Walsall
0–3
L
17 Oct
vs Cheltenham
4–1
W
13 Oct
vs Leeds United U21
4–2
W
10 Oct
vs Accrington ST
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Salford City
1–4
L
22 Sep
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barnet and Oldham.
Our pick is Barnet or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Barnet vs Oldham?
On our numbers Barnet have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Oldham 14%.
How many goals will there be in Barnet vs Oldham?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barnet vs Oldham?
Our predicted score is Barnet 2–0 Oldham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Barnet vs Oldham?
Barnet vs Oldham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Hive Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
