Cheltenham 40%Draw 23%Newport County 38%Expected goals 1.56 – 1.52
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultCheltenham to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Cheltenham vs Newport County: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cheltenham welcome Newport County to Whaddon Road for a League Two fixture on Saturday 24 October (12:30 WAT). In the table, Cheltenham are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Newport County are 14th (lower half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cheltenham, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Fleetwood Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Newport County, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Rotherham, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Newport County, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Cheltenham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cheltenham 1.6 xG, Newport County 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cheltenham 40%, draw 23%, Newport County 38%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cheltenham 1–1 Newport County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cheltenham40%fair 2.53 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Newport County38%fair 2.65 · @2.62
3.08Expected goals
1.56Cheltenham xG
1.52Newport County xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Cheltenham 1.6 – 1.5 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cheltenham to win✓
40%
2.53
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Cheltenham (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Newport County +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Cheltenham to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cheltenham / FT Cheltenham✓
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Cheltenham – last 6
WLDLLW
20 Oct
vs Fleetwood Town
4–2
W
17 Oct
@ Oldham
1–4
L
13 Oct
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Salford City
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Accrington ST
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Chesterfield
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newport County – last 6
DDWDDW
20 Oct
@ Rotherham
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs York
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Colchester
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Plymouth
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Gillingham
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cheltenham and Newport County.
What is the prediction for Cheltenham vs Newport County?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Newport County?
On our numbers Cheltenham have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Newport County 38%.
How many goals will there be in Cheltenham vs Newport County?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cheltenham vs Newport County?
Our predicted score is Cheltenham 1–1 Newport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Cheltenham vs Newport County?
Cheltenham vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Whaddon Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
